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Thursday, June 16, 2011

FBM KLCI - reversed up


Stocks on Bursa Malaysia staged a rebound in active buying yesterday after two days of lackluster trading. The FBM KLCI climbed 7.68 points or 0.5% to the day’s high of 1,556.19, on gains in heavyweights like Petronas Chemicals, Tenaga, Petronas Gas and Maxis. The four counters contributed 6.19 points to the increase in FBM KLCI. Gainers led losers by 421 to 329 while 311 counters closed unchanged. Total volume rose to 888.69 million shares valued at RM1.6 billion from 737.884 million shares worth RM1.209 billion on Wednesday.

The FBM KLCI opened 0.16 point lower at 1,548.35 and hit the intra-day low of 1,547.92 shortly after opening. The key index then rebounded to move higher and was staying in the positive zone for the rest of the day before last minute buying of selected blue-chips pushed it to close at the day’s high of 1,556.19. Chart-wise, the FBM KLCI formed a bullish white candlestick which confirmed the bottom reversal signal issued by the piercing-line candlestick formed on Tuesday. With the bullish up move yesterday, the key index is likely to continue its upward momentum to move higher to test the resistance of 1,560.

MACD has turned upward, indicating a pick up in the momentum. However, as the MACD is still below the signal line, the current upturn could be just a technical rebound. RSI (14) continued to move higher to 58.2, indicating the key index is turning mildly bullish. Stochastic, however, continued to slide lower to 45.7, indicating a continuation of the short term down cycle and the loss of strength. Readings from the indicators showed that the FBM KLCI is showing some signs of reversal, however, the strength are still not bullish yet, and hence, the current up move could be just part of a technical rebound in a short term downtrend.

Currently the FBM KLCI is still trapped within the short term downtrend channel which began on 1st June. The key index will have to close above 1,560 in order to breakout from this downtrend channel to move higher. The medium term trend is sideways, and the long term uptrend is still intact. Immediate overhead resistance zone is at 1,559 to 1,566, while the downside support zone is at 1,550 to 1,540.

Overnight, the Dow fell -178.84 points or -1.48% to close at 11,897.27. Today, the FBM KLCI is likely to trade within a range of 1,542 to 1,565.

This week's expected range: 1539 – 1569
Today’s expected range: 1542 – 1565

Resistance: 1559, 1562, 1565
Support: 1542, 1545, 1550

2 comments:

Loh Peng Lam (羅 炳 霖) said...

Where can I get technical charts such as moving average fibo, etc for KLSE stocks?

Trend Master said...

u need to buy the historical database and then subscribe for the End of Day (EOD). As for the charting software, I use METASTOCK. Please leave me your email, will send u some info, or email me at trendmaster77@gmail.com