Millionaire Trend Trader: FBM KLCI - likely to re-test historical high

Thursday, June 21, 2012

FBM KLCI - likely to re-test historical high

Stocks on Bursa Malaysia closed higher for the third consecutive day yesterday, surpassing the 1,600-point level, bolstered by gains in selected consumer and blue-chip stocks due to active local funds buying of index-linked blue chips. Tracking the positive movement of its regional peers, the FBM KLCI closed 9.41 points higher at 1,604.39 after opening 0.96 point higher at 1,595.94. Gainers thumped losers by 621 to 196 while 291 counters were unchanged. Turnover was higher at 1.401 billion shares worth RM1.763 billion from the 932.560 million units valued at RM1.459 billion posted on Tuesday.

Taking cue from the strong performance of the Dow overnight, the FBM KLCI opened 0.96 of a point higher at 1,595.94 and slipped to the intra-day low of 1,594.88 rights after the opening. The key index rebounded and continued to move higher with intermittent mild pullback to finish at the highest point of the day. Chart-wise, the FBM KLCI formed a bullish white candlestick which indicates buyers were in a state of bullish euphoria, and the key index might continue its upward momentum to move higher today. However, over-bullishness near the top often attracts heavy profit-taking. Immediate overhead resistance is at the historical high of 1,609.33, and a break above this level will send the FBM KLCI into an uncharted territory with a possible target of 1,632 and 1,661.

MACD continued to surge higher and so is the histogram, indicating a strong increase in the upward momentum. RSI (14) was higher at 66.1 from previous reading of 62.5, indicating a continued improvement of the short term relative strength and the FBM KLCI is getting more bullish. Stochastic was higher at 95.3, indicating a very strong market strength and continuation of the up cycle, nevertheless, it also indicated a short term overbought situation, and some pullback on profit taking is expected ahead. Readings from the indicators showed that the FBM KLCI is in a bullish state now, and the upward momentum is likely to carry the key index to a higher level with some shallow pullback expected ahead.

As mentioned in the previous analysis, the FBM KLCI will turn bullish after it crosses the 1,591-point level, and it did. The trend of the FBM KLCI is currently up and bullish as it is now staying above all the moving averages. With the total volume picking up again and reached 1.4 billion shares yesterday after staying below the 1.0 billion shares mark for about four weeks, it is likely to see more rotational play on the second and third liners.

Overnight, the Dow fell -12.94 points or -0.10% to close at 12,824.39. Today, the FBM KLCI is likely to trade within a range of 1,588 to 1,614

This week's expected range: 1561 – 1614
Today’s expected range: 1588 – 1614

Resistance: 1608, 1611, 1614
Support: 1588, 1591, 1598

Stocks to watch: TGOFFS, SCOMIMR, CRESBLD, KINSTEL, IJACOBS

No comments:

Post a Comment

What's happening now is that the market remains trading at very thin volumes and that can affect prices, even when just a handful of shares are traded. The decision of any fund to pull out from certain stock hits the price. - Carlos Slim

You get recessions, you have stock market declines. If you don't understand that's going to happen, then you're not ready, you won't do well in the markets. - Peter Lynch

Vision is perhaps our greatest strength.. it has kept us alive to the power and continuity of thought through the centuries, it makes us peer into the future and lends shape to the unknown.
- Li Ka Shing

Great investment opportunities come around when excellent companies are surrounded by unusual circumstances that cause the stock to be misappraised. - Warren Buffet

Learning is a never ending journey in the stock market. The very moment you think you have learned enough, you'll fall. - Harrison Ho

When people are frightened, they cut their time horizon dramatically, even advisors will say to sell because they see portfolios crumble and they fear people will have nothing left. It's really not rational, but it does happen. - David Dreman

I've found that when the market's going down and you buy funds wisely, at some point in the future you will be happy. You won't get there by reading 'Now is the time to buy.' - Peter Lynch

A military operation involves deception. Even though you are competent, appear to be incompetent. Though effective, appear to be ineffective. - Sun-tzu

Financial markets are supposed to swing like a pendulum: They may fluctuate wildly in response to exogenous shocks, but eventually they are supposed to come to rest at an equilibrium point. - George Soros

If you don't change, reality in the end forces that change upon you. - Stuart Wilde

The investor of today does not profit from yesterday's growth. - Warren Buffet

Analysts have always been overly optimistic.
- David Dreman

We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don't let yourself be lulled into inaction. - Bill Gates

A corporation's primary goal is to make money. Government's primary role is to take a big chunk of that money and give it to others. - Larry Ellison

If you believe that some day it's going to happen, some day it probably will happen. You just have to make sure you're there when it's happening, and ideally you're at the front of the parade, and the principle beneficiary of when it happens, but it's not a kind of thing where you just sort of sit back and wait. - Steve Case

I try to learn from the past, but I plan for the future by focusing exclusively on the present. That's where the fun is. - Donald Trump

The more flexible an economy, the greater its ability to self-correct in response to inevitable, often unanticipated, disturbances and thus to contain the size and consequences of cyclical imbalances. - Alan Greenspan

The world is changing very fast. Big will not beat small anymore. It will be the fast beating the slow. - Rupert Murdoch

The price pattern reminds you that every movement of importance is but a repetition of similar price movements, that just as soon as you can familiarize yourself with the actions of the past, you will be able to anticipate and act correctly and profitably upon forthcoming movements. - Jesse Livermore

In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield. - Warren Buffett

Be extremely subtle, even to the point of formlessness. Be extremely mysterious, even to the point of soundlessness. Thereby you can be the director of the opponent's fate. - Sun-tzu

Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy.. profit from folly rather than participate in it. - Warren Buffett

I hate weekends because there is no stock market. - Rene Rivkin

Before this century is over, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will probably be over one million versus around 10,000 now. So for the long-term, the outlook is tremendously bullish if you buy stocks blindly to keep for a century. - John Templeton

A brand for a company is like a reputation for a person. You earn reputation by trying to do hard things well. - Jeff Bezos

Making good decisions is a crucial skill at every level. - Peter Drucker

We simply attempt to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy only when others are fearful. - Warren Buffett

The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator. This means.. that he should be able to justify every purchase he makes and each price he pays by impersonal, objective reasoning that satisfies him that he is getting more than his money's worth for his purchase. - Benjamin Graham

In this business if you're good, you're right six times out of ten. You're never going to be right nine times out of ten. - Peter Lynch

The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios.. The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market. - George Soros

Our favourite holding period is forever. - Warren Buffet

If you buy all the stocks selling at or below two times earnings, you will lose money on half of them because instead of making profits they will actually lose money, but you will only lose a dollar or so a share at most. Then others will be mediocre performers. But the remaining big winners will go up and produce fabulous results and also ensure a good overall result. - John Templeton

When I'm bearish and I sell a stock, each sale must be at a lower level than the previous sale. When I am buying, the reverse is true. I must buy on a rising scale. I don't buy long stocks on a scale down, I buy on a scale up. - Jesse Livermore

I've learned that mistakes can often be as good a teacher as success. - Jack Welch

Well, you know, I was a human being before I became a businessman. - George Soros

Checking the results of a decision against its expectations shows executives what their strengths are, where they need to improve, and where they lack knowledge or information. - Peter Drucker

The market does not beat them. They beat themselves, because though they have brains they cannot sit tight. - Jesse Livermore

Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing. - Warren Buffett

Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. - George Soros

Most of the time common stocks are subject to irrational and excessive price fluctuations in both directions as the consequence of the ingrained tendency of most people to speculate or gamble... to give way to hope, fear and greed. - Benjamin Graham

The price pattern reminds you that every movement of importance is but a repetition of similar price movements, that just as soon as you can familiarize yourself with the actions of the past, you will be able to anticipate and act correctly and profitably upon forthcoming movements. - Jesse Livermore

I think you have to learn that there's a company behind every stock, and that there's only one real reason why stocks go up. Companies go from doing poorly to doing well or small companies grow to large companies. - Peter Lynch

Before you can really start setting financial goals, you need to determine where you stand financially. - David Bach

The average man doesnâ€™t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What he desires is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. He wants to get something for nothing. He does not wish to work. He doesnâ€™t even wish to have to think. - Jesse Livermore

Only buy something that you'd be perfectly happy to hold if the market shut down for 10 years. - Warren Buffett

Suppliers and especially manufacturers have market power because they have information about a product or a service that the customer does not and cannot have, and does not need if he can trust the brand. This explains the profitability of brands. - Peter Drucker

The key to making money in stocks is not to get scared out of them. - Peter Lynch

I never hesitate to tell a man that I am bullish or bearish. But I do not tell people to buy or sell any particular stock. In a bear market all stocks go down and in a bull market they go up. - Jesse Livermore

Millionaire Trend Trader

"T+10 interest FREE margin trading account"

Thursday, June 21, 2012

FBM KLCI - likely to re-test historical high

No comments:

:: Disclaimer ::